Module II· DCF — Mechanics & FCFIntermediate
Question

What does it tell you about your DCF if the terminal value makes up 85% of the enterprise value?

Answer

An 85% TV share is high — it means your model is very dependent on TV assumptions (g, exit multiple, normalized FCF). The usual range: 60–80% TV. At 85%+:

  • The forecast may be too short — extend it to 10 years.
  • The growth assumption in the forecast is too conservative.
  • Normalized FCF in the terminal year is too high (capex underestimated).
Deep diveShow more details

Question: "How confident are you in the TV?"
Answer: "TV makes up X% of the EV"