Module IV· Curve Balls & Stress QuestionsAdvanced
Question
How do you respond to a brain teaser like 'How many gas stations are there in Frankfurt?'
Answer
Framework
Market-size out loud.
Example approach
- Estimate population and commuters.
- Estimate number of cars.
- Estimate fuel visits per car per month.
- Estimate visits a gas station can serve.
- Divide demand by capacity.
Example answer
'Frankfurt has around 750k residents, plus commuters, so maybe 1.1-1.2m daily population. If there are roughly 350k-450k cars linked to that demand and each refuels 2-3 times per month, that is around 800k-1.2m visits per month. If one station serves 10k-15k visits per month, that implies roughly 60-100 stations. I would sanity-check against city density and highway stations.'
What is tested
structure, assumptions, and sanity checks. Exact answer is less important.